Reducing Expenses

Controlling expenses to maintain the standard of living is the chief challenge faced by those trying to exit the rate race. A few life choices aimed at reducing monthly expenses can make the overall task of attaining financial independence less onerous:

a) Choosing To Own As Opposed To Rent:

Any item used on a daily basis is a candidate for owning as opposed to renting. Examples include the house one occupies and automobiles. Normally regarded as the major outlays of money one might ever make, home ownership is a special case that merits special attention. We have explored the issues associated with home ownership through a series of articles (click to read them).

A variation on the same theme is to reduce/eliminate subscription style expenses. Cable TV, DSL, Movie Rentals, Cellular Phones, Club Memberships, etc fall in this category. Your best bet is to always choose life time membership without monthly charges, if such a choice exists.

b) Frugal Living:

Frugal living is a life choice that allows people to spend less money for the same standard of living that they are used to. In exchange of spending less money, the practitioner spends a little bit of extra time and energy looking for “better deals”. We will look at our experience practicing frugal living through a series of articles (click to read).


Related Posts:
  1. Exiting the Rat Race - Definition.
  2. Rat Race Exit Strategies
  3. Passive Income - Part 1 - Network Marketing.
  4. Passive Income - Part 2 - Royalties
  5. Passive Income - Part 3 - Rental Income
  6. Passive Income - Part 4 - Dividends.
  7. Passive Income - Part 5 - Pension Plans
  8. Passive Income - Part 6 - Employer Plans
  9. Strategies to Beat Inflation.
  10. Strategies to Reduce Expenses.
  11. Frugal Living - A Definition to go by
Last Updated: 06/2011.





Anthracite Capital (AHR) – Part 3 - Outlook

Anthracite Capital’s ratio of exposure to commercial and residential mortgage backed securities was 2:1 in 2003. Since then they have brought down the residential exposure to zero, and diversified within the commercial mortgage asset class. Below is a summary of Anthracite’s percentage investments by asset class over the last five years taken from their annual report:






















Year20072006200520042003
Commercial Real Estate Securities49.35349.744.662.8
Commercial Mortgage Loan Pools26.9273236-
Commercial Real Estate Loans23.511.810.69.14.4
Commercial Real Estate Equity0.22.31.3- -
Residential Mortgage Backed Security (RMBS)0.15.96.410.232.8


Anthracite investments are well diversified by property type both globally and within the US as detailed in the below tables taken from their annual report:




























Property TypePercentage
Office32.8
Retail28.8
Multifamily22.7
Industrial7.5
Lodging6.7
Healthcare0.7
Other0.8
























Geographic LocationPercentage
California16.8
New York12.2
Texas9.6
Florida8.6
Other52.8


Anthracite is trading well below Net Asset Value (NAV) and book Value of $10.87 as indicated in their latest quarterly report. This discount partly reflects the negative sentiment harbored by the market towards companies that have credit exposure and partly the anticipation of margin calls as 21% of the company’s assets are exposed to mark-to-market adjustments and margin calls. Alternative financing in lieu of short-term borrowings can reduce such exposure but in a tight credit environment, such restructurings calls for substantial associated costs. YTD margin calls to May 14, 2008 already stand at $91.7M and that compares to just over $82M for the whole of 2007. This explains the rapid decline in the market value of Anthracite’s assets as a result of the credit crunch. Anthracite responded to margin calls adequately by raising liquidity – issued common and preferred stock resulting in net proceeds close to $100M and renewed certain credit facilities. Although the terms of these deals make it expensive, the company could use some of that cash to fund the purchase of distressed assets, which should provide handsome returns when the credit situation eases.

Outstanding yield, BlackRock’s management expertise, and the discount to NAV make an investment in Anthracite a compelling proposition. However, the risks are very real and because of the 3:1 leverage, one can visualize scenarios where the company’s assets can end up being valued less than its outstanding borrowings thereby making the equity worthless. This risk should be weighed against the positives before making an investment decision on Anthracite. In a diversified portfolio, Anthracite is a fit as a small position in the small-cap portion.

Related Posts:

1. Anthracite Capital (AHR) - Part 1 - Introduction.
2. Anthracite Capital (AHR) - Part 2 - Business Issues.
3. Anthracite Capital (AHR) - Part 3 - Outlook.

Strategies to Beat Inflation

Beating inflation is critical to make savings last longer. The spreadsheet below tabulates how much money can be withdrawn (inflation adjusted) annually from a representative investment of $1,000,000 at different levels of after-tax returns assuming an investment period of 60 years - 60-year investment period defines a family in the 40’s yearning for financial independence as early as possible:


After-tax Return Percentage on Your Investments (Projected/Assumed)034681012
Safe Withdrawal Amounts at 3% inflation for 60-year time horizon$6,000$17,000$22,000$34,000$49,000$65,000$81,000
Safe Withdrawal Amounts at 5% inflation for 60-year time horizon$3,000$9,000$12,000$22,000$34,000$48,000$64,000
Safe Withdrawal Amounts at 11% inflation for 60-year time horizon$0$1,000$1,000$3,000$7,000$13,000$21,000


The highlighted figures indicate that even at higher levels of inflation, 2% is a good withdrawal rate, provided the investment beats inflation on an after-tax basis by at-least one percentage point - the high-lighted amounts (all above 2% of investment) are what can be withdrawn safely, if your investments beat inflation by exactly 1%. If your after-tax returns are below the inflation rate, the amount that can be withdrawn goes progressively down (amounts to the left of the highlighted figures).

US Stocks have historically outpaced inflation by a much-wider margin over prolonged time frames. This out-performance is correlated to the actual GDP growth rate over the years and should continue moving forward conditional to US being able to grow its GDP. An alternative strategy is investing in a global basket of securities from a representative list of countries that are projected to grow their GDP in the upcoming years. Minor asset allocation adjustments every 5-10 years based on the countries expected to grow GDP highest is a simple house keeping task. It is to be stressed that the consistent return associated with stock investments hold true only over extended periods of time.

A more cautious strategy that GUARANTEES moderate levels of inflation out-performance is the inflation-protected securities. In the US, the Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) and series-I savings bonds are examples of such instruments. The caveats that need to be analyzed with such securities are:
  • The inflation index such securities are pegged against. ie, if the index doesn’t accurately reflect the overall inflation rate, the guarantee of beating inflation may not provide the expected real return, and
  • Tax implications – The tax effects for TIPS in the US makes it less desirable under certain situations. Specifically, the income from TIPS and the inflation adjustment are both taxable. The series-I savings bonds fare a little better in this regard as taxes are due only upon cashing them.

Related Posts:
  1. Exiting the Rat Race - Definition.
  2. Rat Race Exit Strategies
  3. Passive Income - Part 1 - Network Marketing.
  4. Passive Income - Part 2 - Royalties
  5. Passive Income - Part 3 - Rental Income
  6. Passive Income - Part 4 - Dividends.
  7. Passive Income - Part 5 - Pension Plans
  8. Passive Income - Part 6 - Employer Plans
  9. Strategies to Beat Inflation.
  10. Strategies to Reduce Expenses.
  11. Frugal Living - A Definition to go by
Last Updated: 06/2011.






    Professional Carpet Cleaning – A Worthwhile Service!

    Vacuum cleaners or their automated equivalents such as the iRobot Roomba are good choices for everyday cleaning. But, when it comes to deep cleaning that is required for carpets to stay like new, engaging professional carpet cleaners is pretty much a requirement.

    There are several alternative choices, but none of them come even close to a good job done by a professional cleaning service. For example, one could engage a general house cleaning service and they usually would do a better job than your everyday vacuuming but as far as areas that require spot cleaning and getting residues up, they come up short. Another choice is using a rented tool such as the rug-doctor to try and get the job done on your own. This Do-It-Yourself (DIY) solution has several downsides:
    • The tools available for rent are not nearly as powerful as the ones used by professional carpet cleaners.
    • The specialized nature of the job makes it imperative that the professional has an advantage over the DIY guy as handling equipment, chemicals, etc. requires experience to get the job done right.
    • The wet/clean/dry cycle that is used by the steam cleaning technology makes it imperative that the dry cycle be done right since otherwise the mildew embedded can cause a lot of harm to your carpets. Further, these areas end up being sticky for dirt to cling on.
    When looking for a professional carpet cleaning service to hire, there are several items one should look for:
    • What kind of equipment do they use? –The high-end versions of these equipments are service-truck-mounted and obviously they will have more power and will help the service company do a better job.
    • What are the steps they go through during the cleaning process? – At a minimum, one should choose a service that offers the three basic steps: dry vacuuming, steam/dry vacuum cycle, and carpet fluffing. A more complete process will have the following five steps: 1) Dry Vacuuming – this is your standard everyday vacuuming, but done with professional equipment, 2) Spot Removal – To get out residue from spillages, 3) Preconditioning – to dislodge dirt stuck in carpets, 4) Steam Extraction – to lift out dirt, and 5) Finishing touches – carpet fluffing, scenting, etc.
    • What chemicals do they use? – At a minimum, ensure that they are OSHA (Occupational Safety and Health Administration) & EPA (Environmental Protection Agency) compliant.

    Anthracite Capital (AHR) – Part 2 – Business Issues

    Anthracite Capital is managed by BlackRock Financial Management Inc – a subsidiary of BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) a publicly traded asset management company with $1.37T in assets. With this structure the company can afford to have NO employees. BlackRock Financial Management provides the operating platform for Anthracite’s CMBS operations as well as the expertise with asset originations and risk management. Investments in mezzanine level debt and preferred-equity is managed through Carbon Capital Funds, a private real-estate debt fund management by BlackRock.

    Anthracite’s board of directors has adopted an indebtedness policy that limits the company’s recourse debt-to-equity ratio at 3:1. This is consistent with the financial covenants in the company’s credit facilities and the strategy helps with limiting risk.

    Below is a recap of the company’s borrowings by maturity, type, and cost taken from their annual report:


































    Borrowing TypeWithin 30 days31 to 59 days60 days to 1 year1 year to 3 years3 years to 5 yearsover 5 yearsTotal, Cost
    Reverse Repurchase Agreements$80.12M





















    $80.12M, 5.44
    Credit Facilities









    $261.89M$409.71M









    $671.60M, 6.06
    Commercial Mortgage Loan Pools




    $17.93M$44.27M$368.43M$130.68M$657.78M$1.22B, 3.99
    CDOs




    $16.74M$16.43M$149.54M$548.80M$1.09B$1.82B, 6.11
    Senior Unsecured Notes
























    162.50M$162.50M, 7.59
    Senior Convertible Notes
























    $80M$80M, 11.75
    Junior Unsecured Notes
























    $73.1M$73.1M, 6.56
    Junior Subordinated Notes
























    $180.48M$180.48M, 7.64
    Totals$80.12M$34.67M$322.60M$927.69M$679.68M$2.25B$4.29B, 5.72

    * Weighted Average Maturity – 6.5 years.

    Below is a summary of the company’s investments by maturity, type, and cost taken from their annual report:












































































    Commercial real estate securities outside CDOsEstimated Fair ValueAdjusted Purchase PriceLoss Adjusted Yield
    Investment Grade CMBS$149.86M$158.22M6.56
    Investment Grade REIT Debt$20.03M$23M5.49
    CMBS rated BB+ to B$316.21M$417.20M8.71
    CMBS rated B- or lower$144.80M$166.38M10.73
    CDO Investments$46.24M$63.99M20.56
    CMBS Interest Only (IO) securities$15.92M$14.73M8.80
    Multifamily Agency Securities$37.12M$36.82M5.37
    Sub Total$730.18M$880.32M9.34
    Commercial real estate loans and equity outside CDOs














    Commercial real estate loans$618.33M$601.14M




    Commercial mortgage loan pools$1.24B$1.24B4.15
    Commercial real estate$9.35M$9.35M




    Sub Total$1.87B$1.85B4.15
    Commercial real estate assets included in CDOs














    Investment grade CMBS$768.67M$759.52M7.09
    Investment grade REIT debt$226.06M$224.61M5.85
    CMBS rated BB+ to B$466.56M$486.16M10.01
    CMBS rated B- or lower$54.34M$68.69M14.98
    CDO investments$3.39M$3.48M7.79
    Credit Tenant Lease$24.95M$23.87M5.66
    Commercial Real Estate Loans$464.46M$434.36M8.73
    Sub Total$2B$2B8.28
    Total$4.61B*$4.73B6.57

    * Face Value - $6.53B

    Anthracite is exposed to losses resulting from fluctuations in interest rates. Specifically, changes in the level of LIBOR money market rates affect the company’s net interest income – Anthracite’s short-term collaterized liabilities outside of CDOs are floating rate based on a market spread to LIBOR. As the level of LIBOR increases or decreases, Anthracite interest expense moves in the same direction. Below is a look at the company’s quantification of the risk, taken from their annual report:































    Change in LIBOR +/- basis pointsProjected Change in Earnings Per Share*
    -200$(0.03)
    -100$(0.02)
    -50$(0.01)
    Base CaseNone
    +50$0.01
    +100$0.02
    +200$0.03






    *Their 5/15 quarterly report states a significant change to this with a 50 basis point LIBOR resulting in an adjustment of $0.04.

    There are also risks associated with the treasury/credit yield curves/levels:
    • When treasuries are priced to a higher yield, Anthracite’s portfolio becomes less valuable and vice-versa.
    • Treasury yield curve changes affect Anthracite’s portfolio valuation, as the prepayment assumptions have to be adjusted.
    • Anthracite’s portfolio valuation is dependent on the market’s perception of how valuable the company’s assets are as reflected by the credit curve and relation to the treasury yield curve. Specifically, as supply increases, the assets become less valuable as yield needs to increase.
    Changes in portfolio valuation affect the company’s ability to borrow. While the interest rate sensitivity is quantifiable as indicated above, the yield curve risks are somewhat less so. Anthracite uses a hedging strategy to limit risks.

    There are also a few other risks that can have an impact on Anthracite’s business:
    • Credit Risk: This is the exposure to loss from loan defaults. The risk is mitigated by the fact that most of these assets are financed on a non-recourse basis in the company’s CDOs, where a significant portion of the risk of loss is transferred to the CDO bondholders.
    • Asset and Liability Management: The risk is associated with the timing and magnitude of the re-pricing and/or maturing of assets and liabilities. The risk is mitigated by matching the term of the liabilities as closely as possible to the holding period of assets. Exact matching is however not possible because different kinds of assets and liabilities react differently to market conditions.
    • Currency Risk: Certain of Anthracite’s CMBS and loans are in Euro, British Pounds, Canadian dollars, and other currencies. Fair-values of assets and earnings can both be impacted by currency fluctuations. The risk is mitigated by using local-currency denominated financings and foreign currency forward commitments and swaps.
    Related Posts:

    1. Anthracite Capital (AHR) - Part 1 - Introduction.
    2. Anthracite Capital (AHR) - Part 2 - Business Issues.
    3. Anthracite Capital (AHR) - Part 3 - Outlook.

    Blockbuster Online Movie Rentals – User Experience/Review


    Blockbuster ran a one-month total access promotion that allows consumers to rent out three DVDs at a time for an entire month (actually four weeks). The standard promotion offered by most online movie rental places currently is for just two weeks. Netflix did have a similar promotion in the past.

    We signed up with Blockbuster a month ago and here is a summary of our experience:
    • Sign-up was a breeze and the entire process took less that 15 minutes. One can add movies to their queue without having to sign up which is handy as it allows pre-viewing their collection. Selection is light on the foreign language front, but overall the selection is remarkable although a little shy of Netflix’s 90000 and odd collection.
    • Blockbuster offers a unique in-store exchange feature which allows exchange of their online DVD at their local Blockbuster store for another movie as well as the ability to return the movie at your local store. Both these options are time savers as it cuts down on the 2-4 day turnaround when mailing in. We did not use this feature and hence cannot comment on its practicality.
    • Shipments were from their San Jose facility and made it to our home within a day for the most part – on a couple of occasions it took two days. Shipments back consistently made it in a day.
    • We experienced a few glitches with the service but none can be deemed deal breakers by any stretch of imagination:
    • They shipped the wrong DVD once – reported it immediately through their web link for reporting problems, and it was immediately taken out of our mailed queue,
    • One of the DVDs we received was damaged – sent it back immediately, reported the problem and got a replacement DVD the very next day, and
    • We ordered the Pearl Harbor DVD which is a 2-disc version and they shipped it separately. On receiving them back, they were counted as two DVDs with the result that they shipped a total of four DVDs at one time although the program allows only three DVDs out at one time. The glitch was automatically corrected the next time around.
    • Canceling the service before the end of the trial period was also a breeze – ensure there is enough time to ship back the remaining DVD’s for them to receive it before the 4-week trial period runs out.
    Overall, we rate the service as excellent and plan to reactivate the account for a month one or two times per year as our schedules permit…

    Anthracite Capital (AHR) – Part 1 - Introduction

    Anthracite Capital (AHR), is a Real-Estate-Investment Trust (REIT) focused in the Commercial Mortgage area. The REIT structure permits companies to minimize or eliminate corporate taxes and requires them to distribute 90% of their income to shareholders as dividends. The shareholders are taxed for the amount. REIT allows shareholders a more liquid way to participate in the real-estate market, albeit with far less leverage. The invested enterprises may choose to use leverage on their investments, however risk increases as the amount of leverage increases.

    REIT primer:

    The REIT structure parallels closely the concept of stock mutual funds – similar to allowing investors to own a basket of securities without having to buy each one of them – REIT provides a way to own a basket of real-estate assets without having to actually purchase any real-estate.
    REIT structuring varies across countries. In the US, the major requirements to qualify as an REIT are:
    • Distribute at least 90% of their taxable income as dividends.
    • Dividends, interests, and property rental income should form 95% of income earned.
    • At least 75% of income should be derived by rents or mortgage income.
    • Cannot be a financial institution or an insurance company.
    • Ownership in taxable REIT subsidiaries cannot be more than 20% of assets.
    There are also a number of other restrictions that regulates REIT, the primary aim being to limit abuse – without such regulations in place, one could structure personal assets as REIT and gain tax benefits, especially when pooling assets from like-minded individuals.

    REIT is classified under three different types:
    • Equity REIT: They have ownership interest in real-estate properties. Rents form the primary source of revenue for such REIT.
    • Mortgage REIT: They have ownership interest in real-estate property mortgages. Interest earned on the mortgages owned form the primary source of revenue for such REIT.
    • Hybrid REIT: They combine the characteristics of an Equity and Mortgage REIT by owning both real-estate properties and mortgages.
    There are a number of sub-categories under each of these broad REIT categories. Anthracite Capital (AHR) is a specialized firm focused on investing in high-yield commercial real-estate debt and equity. The company purchases pools of mortgages in the form of Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) and provides strategic capital to commercial real-estate industry in the form of mezzanine loans and purchase of an equity stake. To fund these purchases and to issue mezzanine loans, the company issues equity and/or debt backed by CMBS. As with most REIT, there are a couple of other factors that affect returns of Anthracite Capital’s (AHR) investments:
    1. Spread: It represents the difference between the interests paid by the company for debt issued vs the realized returns on investments.
    2. Leverage: It represents the ratio of the company’s debt-to-equity.
    Below is an overly simplified example of how the use of Leverage can affect total returns:
















    SpreadRealized Investment Return % (=No Leverage)Projected Return at 3:1 leverageProjected Return at 6:1 leverage
    2%6%12%18%
    0%6%6%6%
    -2%6%0%-6%


    Related Posts:

    1. Anthracite Capital (AHR) - Part 1 - Introduction.
    2. Anthracite Capital (AHR) - Part 2 - Business Issues.
    3. Anthracite Capital (AHR) - Part 3 - Outlook.

    Bought Trina Solar (TSL) and Wrote Dec 50 Calls On Suntech (STP) Shares

    We bought Trina Solar (TSL) at $45.61 yesterday. The stock rallied about 40% following Trina’s abandoned of plans to build polysilicon production plant – cost concerns and other uncertainties surrounding this plan had pushed the shares way down in early March. Q1 earnings came in a little light on Thursday although they beat analyst estimates by three cents. This resulted in a sell-off yesterday morning. The forward price-to-earnings ratio is in the low teens still and Trina continues to be one of the lowest valued integrated solar manufacturers.

    We wrote Dec 50 covered calls (STPLJ) on our Suntech (STP) shares at $5.20 yesterday. The options are set to expire in 6 months and if they get exercised we will realize an overall return of over 50%. This reflects our expectation that Suntech has limited upside potential.

    Below is our updated portfolio:
















































































    StockBuy DateBuy PriceCurrent PriceCurrent % Of PortfolioUnrealized % ReturnYield as % of BOY Portfolio Value Plus Deposits
    Altria (MO) Various16.6921.533.3829.040.16
    Philip Morris International (PM)1/4/200532.1950.505.2956.870.18
    Kraft Foods (KFT)Various24.0331.223.2729.900.11
    Plum Creek Timber (PCL)5/12/200535.546.087.2329.790.28
    Pfizer (PFE)Various24.3717.964.70(26.30)0.29
    ICICI Bank (IBN)5/18/200627.5735.455.5628.570.06
    Taiwan Semi (TSM)7/27/20068.7111.656.0933.900.19
    Advantage Energy Fund (AAV)11/2/200611.2213.144.4717.070.51
    SunTech Power (STP) Call Value 3/14/200736.7340.244.219.57None
    Central Europe & Russia Fund (CEE)Various51.0355.905.859.541.14
    Patni Computers (PTI)8/10/200720.8512.803.35(38.66)0.04
    Itron Inc. (ITRI)11/07/200785.0197.095.0814.08None
    Anthracite (AHR)11/09/20077.979.274.8516.310.72
    ClickSoftware (CKSW)11/09/20074.612.951.54(36.03)None
    Harvest Energy (HTE)11/28/200721.0124.565.1416.870.79
    iRobot (IRBT)12/18/200718.6513.472.82(27.16)None
    MCG Capital (MCGC)Various10.865.172.16(52.40)0.37
    LDK Solar (LDK)01/22/200830.4942.126.6138.13None
    Aegon N.V. (AEG)04/28/200815.9914.314.49(10.49)0.26
    LM Ericsson (ERIC) (AEG)05/05/200823.65 25.195.276.490.18
    TD Ameritrade (AMTD)05/21/200817.68 18.103.792.35None
    Trina Solar (TSL)06/06/200845.61 45.004.71(1.34)None
    Cash


    0.18

    Total Portfolio



    5.265.27



    • For SunTech Power (STP), we wrote covered calls for 2008 Dec 50 on 06/06/2008 at $5.20.
    • For Taiwan Semi (TSM), we wrote covered calls for 2008 October 12.5 on 4/21/2008 at $0.45.
    • For Altria and Philip Morris International, assumed spin-off ratio of 30.83:69.17. Altria is yet to supply the cost-basis info
    • For Plum Creek Timber (PCL), we wrote covered calls for 2008 November 50 on 06/03/2008 at $1.70.


    Related Posts:

    1. Suntech (STP) analysis – 09/07.
    2. LDK Solar (LDK) analysis – 03/08.
    3. Comparison of Vertically integrated solar manufacturers (CSIQ, TSL, YGE, STP) – 11/07.

    Closed Suntech (STP) June 45 Calls (STPFI)

    We closed out the June 45 covered calls on our Suntech shares yesterday. We wrote those on 04/01/2008 at 4.3 and closed yesterday at 0.65. Overall, the shares barely moved over this period and it weakened in the last few days for no significant reason. The calls earned a return of over 10% on our STP shares in a little over two months.

    The list of stocks/options sold during the year and the gain/losses are listed below:












































    StockBuy DateBuy PriceSell DateSell Price% Gain (Loss)% Portfolio Return*
    LDK Solar (LDK) 11/21/2007 30.30 01/08/2008 40.83 34.75 2.64
    Fannie Mae (FNM) 02/15/2008 30.70 03/10/2008 19.82 (35.44) (2.18)
    Navteq Inc.(NVT) 03/11/2008 73.32 03/12/2008 72.15 (1.62) (0.06)
    Suntech March 45 Call (STPCI)10/15/2007NA03/22/2008NANA0.50
    LDK Solar March 40 Call (LDKCH)02/13/2008NA03/22/2008NANA0.44
    Taiwan Semi April 12.5 Call (TSMDV)10/18/2007NA04/20/2008NANA0.1664
    Cypress Semi April 27 Call (CYDB)04/04/2008NA04/20/2008NANA0.2137
    Cypress Semi (CY) 04/02/2008 24.89 04/20/2008 26.95 8.26 0.4113
    EMC Corporation May 16 (EMCEQ) Call 04/23/2008 NA 05/17/2008 NA NA 0.1639
    EMC Corporation (EMC) 04/08/2008 15.00 05/17/2008 15.97 6.48 0.2915
    Suntech June 45 Call (STPFI) 04/01/2008 NA 06/05/2008 NA NA 0.3538
    Realized Gain/(Loss) YTD-----2.9351



    • % Gain/Loss Relative to Portfolio Value at Beginning of Year + Deposits
    • The table assumes realization of profits associated with selling options only after the option is exercised or expiry.

    Wrote Nov 50 Calls On Plum Creek Timber (PCL) Shares

    We wrote Nov 50 covered calls (PCLKJ) on our Plum Creek Timber (PCL) shares at $1.70 today. The options are set to expire in less than 6 months and if they get exercised we will realize an overall return of approximately 50%.

    Below is our updated portfolio:












































































    StockBuy DateBuy PriceCurrent PriceCurrent % Of PortfolioUnrealized % ReturnYield as % of BOY Portfolio Value Plus Deposits
    Altria (MO) Various16.6921.983.4131.730.17
    Philip Morris International (PM)1/4/200532.1951.675.8260.500.19
    Kraft Foods (KFT)Various24.0332.053.3133.350.11
    Plum Creek Timber (PCL)5/12/200535.545.877.1129.200.28
    Pfizer (PFE)Various24.3719.014.91(21.99)0.30
    ICICI Bank (IBN)5/18/200627.5734.965.4226.790.06
    Taiwan Semi (TSM)7/27/20068.7111.385.8830.780.19
    Advantage Energy Fund (AAV)11/2/200611.2212.744.2813.500.49
    SunTech Power (STP) Call Value 3/14/200736.7340.414.1810.03None
    Central Europe & Russia Fund (CEE)Various51.0357.075.9011.831.17
    Patni Computers (PTI)8/10/200720.8512.753.29(38.90)0.04
    Itron Inc. (ITRI)11/07/200785.0196.454.9813.32None
    Anthracite (AHR)11/09/20077.979.554.9319.830.74
    ClickSoftware (CKSW)11/09/20074.612.931.51(36.44)None
    Harvest Energy (HTE)11/28/200721.0124.705.1017.540.79
    iRobot (IRBT)12/18/200718.6513.712.83(25.86)None
    MCG Capital (MCGC)Various10.865.522.28(49.18)0.39
    LDK Solar (LDK)01/22/200830.4944.446.8945.74None
    Aegon N.V. (AEG)04/28/200815.9915.054.66(5.86)0.28
    LM Ericsson (ERIC) (AEG)05/05/200823.65 27.065.5914.400.19
    TD Ameritrade (AMTD)05/21/200817.68 18.193.762.86None
    Cash


    4.44

    Total Portfolio



    7.085.38


    • For SunTech Power (STP), we wrote covered calls for 2008 June 45 on 4/1/2008 at $4.30.
    • For Taiwan Semi (TSM), we wrote covered calls for 2008 October 12.5 on 4/21/2008 at $0.45.
    • For Altria and Philip Morris International, assumed spin-off ratio of 30.83:69.17. Altria is yet to supply the cost-basis info
    • For Plum Creek Timber (PCL), we wrote covered calls for 2008 November 50 on 06/03/2008 at $1.70.

    Avenue Of The Giants – Trip Report/Review


    We did a daytrip to the Avenue of the Giants from Mendocino. Avenue of the Giants is a 38-mile detour along the side of 101 freeway 45 miles north of Leggett were Pacific Coast Highway (PCH – Highway 1) meets 101 freeway and about 40 miles south of Eureka. This avenue cuts right through the middle of the Humboldt Redwood State Park and is aptly named as it provides visitors with a visual treat of the vast amount of giant redwood trees that occupy the area.

    En-route at Leggett is the world famous Chandelier tree – the Drive-Thru Tree – this tree has a 9X6 foot enclosure cut through it. Entrance to the park is $5 per vehicle and from the entrance a dirt road takes you through the tree. There is a very nice, serene picnic area and a gift shop with ample choices of curios made with redwood. There are several such trees commercialized with an entrance fee and gift shop dotted all along the way. It is easy to be distracted by the commercialization and the small shops that run businesses by selling wares of questionable value along the entire stretch of the Avenue of the Giants. While the general theme of all of these is the same and runs amuck the notion of preservation and saving, it is worthwhile to visit at-least one such place.

    Another experience encountered on that route is the gravity house and the train ride at Confusion Hill. The admission to the gravity house is $6.50 for adults and $4 for children between 4 and 12, and the admission to the train ride is $8.50 for adults and $5 for children between 4 and 12. The gravity house fails to amuse adults but our kids definitely found it a welcome distraction. The train ride is a reincarnation of an old relic, but as all train rides go, it does provide entertainment. You get to see up-close a few Madrones and some Douglas Fir too. It was intriguing to hear the train engineer recount the story of the giant redwood trees that were felled in the 1993 timeframe – loopholes in logging rules were exploited as ownership changed in rapid succession, each new owner exercising their quota (double-dipping) with the result that the giant redwoods were mostly cut down and the absence of the wind break barrier brought down as many as 240 trees in a storm in 1996 – as you ride the train, and notice the lack of trees at the summit you have to wonder…

    The best way to experience these giants is to try and stop by as many groves along the stretch as possible. Usually an information plaque detailing the hikes at that spot is also available. You are limited only by your own time, inclination, and ability. It is extremely important that people taking these hikes take care to stay away from the poison oak growing along most of the trails.

    In summary, Avenue of the Giants provides an awe inspiring, unique experience for visitors to the area.

    Related Posts:

    1. Mendocino, Fort Bragg, CA – Trip Report/Review.

    Last Updated: 02/2011.

    Small Caps In Our Portfolio – An Update

    Below is a summary of the small capitalization stocks (Market Capitalization less than $1 Billion):

























    BusinessInvested %Date Of InvestmentReturn %Dividend Yield
    Click Software (CKSW)1.6611/09/2007(33.19)None
    iRobot Corporation (IRBT)2.8512/18/2007 & 04/18/2008(24.23)None
    MCG Capital (MCGC)3.3412/21/2007 & 04/01/2008(46.22)16.4
    Anthracite Capital (AHR)4.3611/09/200718.4414.60
    Patni Computer Systems (PTI)3.4008/10/2007(36.79)1.0
    Totals15.61Various(20.70)7.81


    Overall, the stocks returned roughly –17% in a little less than six months under-performing the Russell 2000 Small-Cap Stock Index ETF (IWM) by a wide margin. This underperformance is significant considering our entire portfolio outperformed the Wilshire 5000 overall US stock market index by a significant margin over the same period.

    Click Software had a string of outstanding quarters last year, which were followed by a couple of tepid ones and the stock price reflected the ups and downs. As the business prospects remain solid, the valuation looks very attractive. iRobot had a decent quarter, but pared down expectations for the coming year. One of their key retail customers (Linen N’ Things) ended up in bankruptcy and that has affected the stock. However, the prospects and valuation continues to be attractive. For MCG Capital, the real concern is liquidity. The combination of tight credit environment along with pay-in-kind transactions has made it especially hard for the company to find cash to fund its capital needs. This situation could decline in an extended downturn in the economy. Anthracite Capital has been fairly static although it saw a low of $5.20 in early March at the peak of the liquidity crisis. The company’s prospects are directly tied to the commercial mortgage market and its concern parallels the residential market concerns on the number of bad loans in the portfolio. For Patni Computer Systems (PTI), the stock has always trailed its peers such as Cognizant (CTSH) and Infosys (INFY). As competition picks up pace in the outsourcing business, Patni’s margins will continue to stay pressured. Even so, the valuation looks attractive and our expectation is that the company will get acquired.

    We will look at adding to some of these positions while staying within our target of roughly 20% commitment to small-cap portion in our portfolio.

    Related Posts:

    1. Click Software (CKSW) - Stock Analysis - 11/07.
    2. iRobot Corporation (IRBT) - Stock Analysis - 01/08.
    3. MCG Capital (MCGC) - Stock Analysis - 05/08.
    4. Anthracite Capital (AHR) - Stock Analysis - 06/08.
    5. Patni Computer Systems (PTI) - Stock Analysis - 08/07.

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