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Disclaimer: The content in this blog should not be taken as investment advice. We are amateur investors and are sharing our experience managing finances.

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11/22/07

Purchased LDK Solar (LDK)

We purchased LDK Solar at $30.30 per share yesterday. LDK Solar is a producer and supplier of solar grade polysilicon wafers to solar cell & module manufacturers. The stock came down a whopping 60% due to allegations about inventory overstatement of its silicon feedstock. An independent audit report finding is due in early December, per LDK. The company has net profit margin in the 30’s and projects to grow revenue at the rate of 100% for the next few years. Polysilicon supplies to produce the wafers are in short supply but production on a large scale is expected to come online in 2008.

To accommodate this purchase, we sold Canadian Solar (CSIQ) at $14.30 per share for a short-term profit of 35% in less than a month. Improved profit margin expectations, polysilicon and solar cell supply contracts along with beating expectations in Q3 caused the shares to pop about 80% before pulling back. The stock is still valued very low on a forward P/E basis but it is uncertain whether the company can grow margins going forward.

The list of stock/options sold during the year and the gain/losses are listed below:














































StockBuy DateBuy PriceSell DateSell Price% Gain (Loss)% Portfolio Return*
Harrah’s (HET)10/2/200675.618/7/200783.6810.660.62
St. Joe (JOE)8/7/200739.48/8/200741.86.230.47
Google (GOOG)3/14/20074418/10/2007515.9916.861.14
LOCM (LOCM)8/10/20075.479/17/20076.09411.310.71
PetroChina (PTR)9/12/200610610/1/2007188.578.142.83
PetroChina (PTR)9/12/200610610/3/2007178.0568.392.2
ValueClick (VCLK)9/12/200719.410/12/200728.2845.793.38
Canetic Resources (CNE) 11/2/2006 13.95 10/26/2007 15.88 13.78 1.06
Harvest Energy (HTE) 11/2/2006 23.46 11/9/2007 26.39 12.5 0.95
Canadian Solar (CSIQ) 10/30/2007 10.60 11/21/2007 14.30 34.9 2.82
Suntech March 45 Call--10/15/20075.00--
TSM April 12.5 Call--10/18/20070.35--
Realized Gain/(Loss) YTD-----16.17



  • % Gain/Loss Relative to Portfolio Value at Beginning of Year + Deposits
  • The table assumes realization of profits associated with selling options only after the option is exercised or expiry.


Here is our updated Stock Portfolio:































































StockBuy DateBuy PriceCurrent PriceCurrent % Of PortfolioUnrealized % ReturnCurrent Yield
Philip Morris (MO)1/4/200546.5472.419.2955.584.29
Kraft Foods (KFT)1/4/200521.1132.812.9055.403.15
Plum Creek Timber (PCL)5/12/200535.541.888.0617.963.74
Pfizer (PFE)2/6/200625.1522.355.73(11.15)4.63
ICICI Bank (IBN)5/18/200627.5756.1010.79103.460.92
Taiwan Semi (TSM)7/27/20068.719.315.976.863.4
Advantage Energy Fund (AAV)11/2/200611.2210.914.55(2.80)15.03
SunTech Power (STP) 3/14/200736.73455.7722.530
Central Europe & Russia Fund (CEE)6/28/200751.558.655.6413.749.6
Patni Computers (PTI)8/10/200720.8515.204.87(27.15)0.64
Bank Of Ireland (IRE)10/1/200776.4355.504.45(27.39)4.5
Asure Software (ASUR)10/5/20071.311.354.332.950
Frontline Limited (FRO)10/26/200743.5142.385.44(2.59)13.81
Itron Inc. (ITRI)11/07/200785.0174.54.78(12.47)0
Anthracite (AHR)11/09/20077.977.524.82(5.64)0
ClickSoftware (CKSW)11/09/20074.614.532.90(1.75)0
LDK Solar (LDK)11/21/200730.3030.289.71(0.07)0
Cash











0







Total Portfolio















8.46






  • For SunTech Power (STP), we wrote a call option for March 45 (see first table) and so the price is listed as $45 as we won’t participate in the appreciation beyond that plus the premium received.



A detailed analysis of LDK Solar will follow.

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